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NFL MVP Odds Entering Week 6: It’s Josh Allen’s to Lose

Last Updated: October 12, 2022
In Week 6, the Buffalo Bills QB faces off against a Kansas City team, led by fellow MVP candidate Patrick Mahomes, in a battle for AFC supremacy.

Another eventful week in the NFL is officially behind us and if you’re a Carolina Panthers, Detroit Lions, or Washington Commanders fan, our best wishes for a tolerable rest of the season. On the other hand, if you’re a Kansas City Chiefs, Buffalo Bills, or Philadelphia Eagles supporter, you might want to consider blocking out the second weekend in February.

With every game played, the discourse around the league’s most outstanding player deepens. In short, the biggest takeaway from Week 5 is that it’ll be extremely difficult to pull ahead of Josh Allen in the MVP race. For another week, the Bills play-caller solidified himself as the likely recipient of the coveted trophy. In Buffalo’s 38-3 drubbing of the Pittsburgh Steelers, Allen completed 20 of 31 passes for a career-best 424 yards and four touchdowns, including this absolute dime to Gabe Davis.

Unsurprisingly, his MVP stock drastically improved, going from +300 to +175. Will anyone come within reach of him? Scroll on for the latest odds.

2022 NFL MVP Odds: Week 6

All odds are via FanDuel Sportsbook as of Oct. 11 following the end of Week 5 and are subject to change.

It wouldn’t be a Kansas City Chiefs game without a hint of drama, and Monday’s contest against the Las Vegas Raiders was anything but normal. Down 20-10 at the half, Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce connected four times in the endzone to send their AFC West rivals back to Sin City with a 1-4 record.

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It was Kelce’s best career performance in regards to touchdowns, and Mahomes’ comeback theatrics were enough to give him an updated +400 odds for MVP (+500 last week). Per the NFL, Mahomes is now 23-3 against the AFC West with 56 TDs and a 103.0 passer rating.

By all accounts, it was an ugly win and some calls should certainly have league execs questioning consistency in officiating, but a win is a win. In order to stay level with the Bills — their Week 6 opponent — Kansas City needed this victory. Sunday’s AFC Divisional Round rematch from earlier this year won’t be an easy triumph for either side, but perhaps it will settle who is more likely to walk away from the NFL Honors with this accolade.

Don’t Forget Lamar

Not far behind Mahomes in the updated MVP odds is Ravens QB Lamar Jackson, who’s been hovering around the top three since Week 1. Though he orchestrated a last-minute drive to set up a game-winning Justin Tucker field goal, Baltimore’s 19-17 win over the Cincinnati Bengals was not exactly the 2019 Most Valuable Player’s best work.

“I’m going to be mad at the film,” Jackson said to reporters following Sunday’s win against the Cincinnati Bengals.

For three quarters, Jackson missed open receivers and was picked off once against a threatening defense. But in the final frame, Jackson’s 18-yard run to put Baltimore into scoring range was enough to keep him in the conversation. His probability didn’t change from last week, but his salary next season might significantly increase as a result of his heroics.

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About The Author
Vinciane Ngomsi
Vinciane Ngomsi
Vinciane Ngomsi is a Staff Writer at Boardroom. She began her career in sports journalism with bylines at SB Nation, USA Today and, most recently, Yahoo. She received a bachelor's degree in Political Science from Truman State University and when she's not watching old clips of Serena Williams' best matches, she is likely perfecting her signature chocolate chip cookie recipe or preparing a traditional Cameroonian meal.