Eagles vs. Seahawks Prediction: Can Philly Get Back on Track?

It’s Philly and Seattle for Week 15 Monday Night Football. We have your Eagles vs. Seahawks prediction, odds, and more from FanDuel.

This article originally appeared at FanDuel Research.

Week 15 wraps up with the Philadelphia Eagles (10-3) hitting the road to take on the Seattle Seahawks (6-7).

Some concern remains over the status of Jalen Hurts (illness) after he was downgraded to questionable yesterday, but with Philly a 3.5-point road favorite, per the NFL odds at FanDuel Sportsbook, it seems like oddsmakers are banking on Hurts being able to play.

Things don’t look as rosy for Geno Smith, who is reportedly a longshot to play. We’re likely in for a second straight game of Drew Lock.

The Eagles have lost two straight, getting thumped by both the Dallas Cowboys and San Francisco 49ers the past two weeks. Oddly enough, Seattle has also played Dallas and San Fran over its last two games, losing both, as well. In all, the Seahawks have dropped four straight and desperately need a win to rescue their floundering playoff chances.

NFL Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook. Lines may change after this article is published.

Eagles at Seahawks Week 15 Betting Odds: Spread, Total, and Moneyline

Spread: Eagles -3.5 (-110)
Total: 45.0
Moneyline:
- Eagles: -172
- Titans: +144

Eagles at Seahawks Week 15 Matchup Analysis

While the Eagles’ 10-3 record looks pretty great, they aren’t playing at the level they were a year ago.

Per numberFire’s schedule-adjusted metrics, Philadelphia ranks 12th overall. The issue has been on defense. The Eagles own the NFL’s sixth-worst D, according to numberFire, ranking in the bottom 11 against both the run and the pass. Some of those issues have been exposed the last two weeks, as the Eagles gave up a combined 75 points in losses to the Cowboys and 49ers.

Hurts and company are carrying the load. numberFire slots Philly’s offense seventh overall, and as we mentioned in the intro, with the Eagles listed as a 3.5-point road favorite, Hurts appears likely to play.

Things aren’t going well for Seattle this year, and while the offense isn’t without blame, the Seahawks’ defense has disappointed thus far, ranking fifth-worst in overall D, per numberFire. They’re third-worst versus the run and right around the league average against the pass.

It looks like Geno Smith will be out today, so we’ll see Drew Lock once more. In his first start of the year last week at San Fran, Lock did decently well, throwing for 269 yards with 2 scores and 2 interceptions. At home against a struggling Philly defense, Lock gets a softer landing spot this week.

Eagles at Seahawks Prop Bets

A.J. Brown Over 82.5 Receiving Yards (-113)

A.J. Brown has gone for 114 and 94 receiving yards the last two games, getting 13 targets in each and bouncing back from a brief dry spell. While Brown is unlikely to see the pass-heavy game scripts he got in those two lopsided defeats, I think he’ll stay hot against a Seattle defense that’s allowed the seventh-most catches (13.9) and seventh-most yards per game (167.8) to wideouts.

In the last two weeks, Seattle has been torched by receivers. In Week 14, Deebo Samuel (149 yards) and Brandon Aiyuk (126 yards) both went off against this defense while CeeDee Lamb (116 yards) had a big game against the ‘Hawks in Week 13.

For the year, Brown is averaging 96.8 receiving yards per game, and he’s recorded at least 83 receiving yards in 8 of 13 games.

Kenneth Walker III Over 10.5 Receiving Yards (-113)

Kenneth Walker III returned last week and led Seattle’s backfield in snap rate (56%). Walker out-snapping Zach Charbonnet (42%) despite a negative game script is a positive sign for his outlook today.

Walker didn’t do much on the ground (8 carries, 21 yards) a week ago but found some joy as a pass-catcher, hauling in 4 of 5 targets for 33 yards.

With Seattle a ‘dog, I like Walker’s chances to post at least 11 receiving yards today. Across the five Seahawks’ losses he’s played in, Walker is averaging 2.6 catches and 12.4 receiving yards per game. His big-play ability gives him a chance to clear this bar in one catch.

The matchup helps, too, as the Eagles give up the 10th-most catches (5.1) and 10th-most targets (6.5) per game to running backs.

–Austan Kas